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June 23, 2010

Floods breach dyke in river as rain persists

Looking at the scattered house tops emerging from the muddy floodwater, Wang Mubao, of Wangjiacun village in Fuzhou city, East China's Jiangxi province, prayed for help and for his family from the roof of his two-storied house.

After spending one and a half days in the outdoors waiting for aid to arrive, and only eating a single meal during that period, the fragile 66-year-old was finally rescued by the first boat to arrive, along with more than 20 other lucky villagers

"The water rose so quickly that I did not have time to take any food. In one and a half days, no boats could be seen from my roof," Wang told China Daily.

He was fortunate, compared to the remaining 1,000 villagers who have spent more than two days on their roofs without food or fresh water to drink.

Meanwhile, the floodwater continued to rise after a dyke in the nearby Fuhe River was breached overnight, spreading out from an area of 60 meters to 400 meters by Tuesday morning as the rainstorms continued to batter South China.

The breaching of the dyke immediately endangered 145,000 residents downstream, as well as 8,193 hectares of arable land, the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters said on Tuesday.

China Central Television Station showed footage taken from a helicopter of what it described as a "boundless expanse of water", covering farmland, roads and residential areas.

"We badly need boats, fuel and people who know the area," said Cai Xinhui, a 36-year-old man, who was rescued at the same time as Wang.

More than 760 rescue boats have already been sent to retrieve 91,000 stranded river residents and more than 1,500 temporary tents have been set up in 17 settlements, according to the latest statistics from the Fuzhou city government.

No deaths were reported as of Tuesday afternoon, according to officials in Fuzhou.

President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao have called for "all-out efforts to combat floods and save lives" following the dyke's collapse, Xinhua News Agency said.

More than 15,000 soldiers and government officials are scrambling to plug the breach and move residents.

A new round of heavy rain is expected to hit South China from Wednesday to Saturday, with 260 mm of rain expected in parts.


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China's housing market makes moving abroad cheaper than buying at home

In June 2010, the average price for buying an apartment in Shanghai rose to RMB 20,733 per square meter, according to Anjuke.com, one of the city’s most popular real estate websites. This means that to own a 100 square meter apartment in Shanghai, you need to fork out more than RMB 2 million (and that’s before taxes).

The notoriously high property prices in China's big cities like Shanghai and Beijing have turned netizens' attention to a seemingly unrelated issue: emigrating. 

A group of Internet users have suggested in a recent article on the popular news website QQ.com that it is cheaper to file for immigration to developed countries like Canada, Australia or the United States than to buy property in China. 

“An investment of RMB 2.35 million gets you a green card for Canada, RMB 4.54 million for Australia, RMB 9.62 for Singapore and RMB 3.42 million for the United States,” asserts the article. It continues that this amount of money would be what you'd need to “buy an apartment in Shanghai or Beijing.”

Many immigration agencies are using the real estate market to attact a new group of post-1980s Chinese consumers, asking them, “If you’re considering buying a house, why not just immigrate abroad?”

An article on QQ.com titled “Why spend RMB 800,000 to immigrate?” asserts that there are many reasons people consider emigrating from China, but the group now affected by the real estate market price climb are a different demographic than earlier generations. They are “middle class people who want to plan a better future for their children,” the piece says. Being able to afford a home is just one part of this issue. 

The post puts together a list of benefits that migrating to the United State (theoretically) offers. The list spans issues from fines for a second child in China (approximately RMB 240,000 according to the piece) and the availability of student loans in the United States, to cheaper property price and bluer skies outside China's borders.

“The reason so many Chinese people choose to emigrate,” writes the article, “is because no one would want their child to drink tainted milk, fight to go to university or queue for jobs at Foxconn.” And more importantly, a U.S. passport gives you freedom to travel anywhere in the world, adds the article. Real estate prices are now just the newest marketing slogan.

Surprisingly, few sparks from China’s deeply ingrained nationalism have arisen as people commented on these posts, and many netizens have expressed their support for people who chose to move. 

QQ.com user Xiuyu Linzhong says, “I love my country but it doesn't love me. I work hard during the day, but can’t afford a place at night. I want to emigrate too, but I just don't have the money.”

“Everyone should have the right to choose what they want,” comments Dang huakai nashi from Zunyi. “Who doesn't want a better environment to live? I'd emigrate too if I had the money.” 

Netizen Hu Yue, from Shandong, also expresses frustration with an issue close to the hearts of many young, middle-class Chinese, the problem of 'child slaves', those who consider themselves burdened with the costs of raising their children. “We have to save every penny for our kid to go to kindergarten and live in a newly built high rise building.” 

Those who voice opposition, do so much less vehemently than they did a few years ago when some high-profile Chinese stars gave up their Chinese passports and none of the issues surrounding the birth of Yao Ming’s American-born daughter’s citizenship were raised either. It appears that netizens' passionate nationalism is reserved for Chinese celebrities, while the post-1980s generation concentrates on the issues directly affecting their daily lives.


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The price of private healthcare in China

Patients who have had operations recently at Parkway Health, the Singaporean private healthcare provider, may have been surprised by an item at the bottom of their bill – a charge for removing their stitches.

A recent round-robin memo from Parkway even reminded doctors in Shanghai to make sure they did not forget to charge for the service, prompting one member of staff to call for some “common sense” from the penny-pinching management. He wrote, dryly: “I am sure most physicians do not charge for suture [stitch] removal”.

The desire to grind out as much profit as possible from patients means that China is now one of the most expensive places in the world to have private healthcare.

According to Bupa, the medical insurance giant that operates in over 190 countries, the cost of treatment in China has spiraled alarmingly. “Globally, medical costs are rising by around ten to eleven per cent each year,” said Dr Sneh Khemka, the medical director
of Bupa International in London. “At its worst, in China the inflation rate is 3,000 per cent.”

For Bupa customers, that translates into insurance premiums that are rising by 200 per cent to 300 per cent each year, as the group tries to cover its costs. However, Dr Khemka can see no obvious clinical reason why the prices should be rising so fast.

“It is our view that the drivers of these higher costs are commercial, rather than medical. There is practically a monopoly in Shanghai and Beijing and the clinics charge what they like,” he said.

Until now, Parkway, United Family and International SOS have carved the vast majority of the market up between them for non-Chinese speaking patients and for wealthy Chinese who distrust the domestic healthcare system.

The lack of competition in the market means fewer options for patients and has left insurance companies more-or-less unable to negotiate discounts. One Shanghai-based investment banker, whose clients include a foreign insurance group, said: “The medical community really has the upper hand here,” he said.

For the money, the treatment is often lavish. Advertisements in magazines highlight the clinics' premium services, their ranks of internationally-trained, multilingual doctors and Western-style facilities.

When Parkway's Gleneagles center opened in Shanghai in 2005, it seemed to be modeled more on a hotel than a hospital, with massage services, free snacks and flat-screen televisions in each room. In Beijing, International SOS, a round-the-clock outpatient clinic proudly boasts that it can evacuate patients to outside of China via its own “dedicated air ambulance”, a service that seems at best anachronistic given the high quality of care available in both public and private emergency rooms.

The pricing culture at private clinics, and the practice of charging for each and every step of a treatment, has changed little since medical companies began to set up in China ten to 15 years ago.

Most companies coming to China simply adopted United States-style pricing, given the company packages and generous medical insurance that were standard for their clients, wealthy expatriates.

A chiropractor based in Beijing, who asked to remain anonymous, said his private clinic uses the 'Current Procedural Terminology' (CPT) pricing system developed by the American Medical Association. Under this system, the therapy is broken down into dozens of smaller, billable, treatments. “I have to charge for every small thing separately – a neck adjustment, a back adjustment and so on. It's quite common for the insurers to refuse payment when the bills are really high,” he said.

In addition, the rising fees at many private clinics are often applied opaquely. Few patients can distinguish whether a second or a third x-ray, or scan, is a vital precaution or an unnecessary extra. Or whether a certain type of drug is the most effective on the market or merely the most expensive. For patients with private insurance, the distinction is rarely worth worrying over anyway.

However, Alan Kahn, the vice president of marketing and communications for United Family hospitals argues that costs remain lower than in the US system.

“We are in the 65th to 70th percentile of US medical costs. In many cases our charges are not as expensive as US medical charges, but in others we are not as cheap. But there's no hospital in my hometown in the US that is as well-equipped and run as our hospital in Beijing,” he said.

The private clinics argue that the high cost of their service reflects the quality of their care and the difficulty in recruiting talented doctors, either within China or from overseas. “It is always a challenge recruiting good doctors,” said Jonathan Seah, the former chief executive of Parkway in China.

He explained that foreign doctors were usually unwilling to step outside of their own country's healthcare system, and forsake any opportunity for advancement, in order to take more mercenary jobs in China. Meanwhile, in China, “the best doctors work in the public sector,” he said, where they are hugely incentivised by bonuses and commissions from pharmaceutical companies for prescribing their drugs.

“Another difficulty that foreign providers have is that if they try, for example, to build a new private hospital, they are immediately competing with the state-backed financing of some private clinics that have been set up within many of the state-funded public hospitals, which are now offering "VIP" and international services. In general, starting costs are high, licensing arrangements are complex and the investment criteria for foreign investors are strict. These are some of the reasons why there are not more international players in the market,” he added.

Buoyed by their revenues, the big players are busy expanding. United Family, part of Nasdaq-listed Chindex, cut the ribbon on a new oncology centre in Beijing this month. It now has seven private clinics and hospitals, including centers in Guangzhou and Wuxi. “We are also expanding our hospital in Beijing so that we can carry out neuro-surgery and other advanced clinical procedures,” said Mr Kahn. “Our patient mix has also expanded. Today, roughly 55 per cent are expatriates and 45 per cent are local Chinese.”

Parkway is also moving into the interior of China, attracted by the possibility of rich Chinese clients. It has eight facilities, including one in Chengdu, and a new site at Shanghai's Jin Mao tower.

Slowly, however, patients are beginning to baulk at the cost of treatment. A former clinic manager, who has worked a several leading private clinics in China, said: “The majority of customer complaints I received were about billing and pricing. The worst areas were obstetrics and maternity.”

Rachel Wu, the marketing manager of United Family, said: “A natural birth at our hospitals costs 62,148 yuan and a C-section is 100,000 yuan.” Ms Wu said United Family encouraged natural childbirths, but one insider said there was an abnormally high rate of caesarian operations at other private clinics, often making up 50 per cent to 60
per cent of the procedures, partly because clinics were keen to maximise their profits.

Not everyone is convinced by their business model, however. David Wood, the managing director of PriceWaterhouseCoopers Healthcare in China, said: “I think the question to ask is: Is this a failed model?”

“As China's domestic healthcare continues to develop, there will be less and less need for very expensive care. You have to think that eventually everyone will be able to go through the normal stream. In the past 15 years, public healthcare in China has been focused on coping with the numbers, but now there is a greater emphasis on service. The market will respond to patients' needs,” he said.

“The pricing at these clinics is high. They have a considerable burden, employing lots of foreign doctors. But when you are talking about clinics with 30 to 40 beds, the cost of a specialist is very hard to justify,” he added.

Dr Seah, who left Parkway to join a private equity firm that invests in healthcare and education companies, Living Ventures in Shanghai and who is also a director of the Tongren Hospital Group a public-private partnership, agreed. “Since 2000, there has been a significant leap in the capabilities of the private or VIP wings at local state hospitals. In many cases they have caught up with the Western clinics.”

In Beijing, the foreigners' wing of the Peking Union Medical College has a solid reputation, with many former patients claiming its birthing unit is the best in the city. In Shanghai, Ruijin Hospital's VIP wing has 10 private rooms where, for a 300 yuan registration fee, patients can sit down with an English-speaking doctor.

The costs (for patients) are usually considerably lower at public hospitals. “Take a CT scan for example,” said Dr Seah. “In a local hospital, you might pay 500 yuan for this. At the VIP wing of a local hospital it might cost 1,000 yuan. And at a private International
clinic you might pay 5,000 to 10,000 yuan, even though the actual scan might actually be done in a local hospital. You are essentially paying up to ten times the price for the interpretation of the scan to be done by an internationally-trained doctor who speaks English.”

He added: “Ultimately, we think local hospitals, or partnerships with local hospitals, are the future in China.”

Some of the private clinics appear to have come to the same conclusion. United Family has teamed up with Shanghai's state-run Huashan hospital, one of only five hospitals in China to be accredited by the Joint International Commission, a US-based NGO, to open a second hospital in Pudong in April. New entrants are also emerging to put pricing pressure on the big three incumbents.

Singapore stock market-listed Healthway, one of the country's largest networks of private medical centers, plans to open six new centers in Shanghai, taking its total in the city to eight by the end of 2010.

Global Healthcare, opened its second clinic in Shanghai last month focusing on clinical and dental care and a new World Path clinic in Pudong opened in October last year.

Shannon Neilson, director of operations at Regenerative Medicine group, which is setting up new clinics in Shanghai aimed at holistic healthcare and nutrition, said: “We are definitely starting to see more competition in the market. Although it could be two or three years before some of the bigger medical centres reach profitability. I think we might see some of the big established players struggle to adapt to more competition if they don't make improvements to their facilities, pricing and overall standards of medical care.”

New start-up clinics are often willing to offer lower rates of contract to insurers in a bid to establish direct-billing relationships, and this could also reduce the pressure on insurance premiums.

However, any change to the system is likely to be gradual. “On pricing, it is really a question of perception,” said Neil Raymond, chief executive of Pacific Prime, an insurance broker in Hong Kong. “The foreign private clinics and hospitals in China may be ten times the price of the state-backed VIP clinics, but equally the private arms of the public hospitals are ten times the price of the normal service, even though the doctors are usually the same,” he said.

And, as one insurance broker, who asked not to be named, said: “Let's not forget that high insurance premiums are in the insurance companies' interest. None of them wants to operate in a market where healthcare costs are very low, such as Thailand, because it is very hard to sell insurance there.”


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June 09, 2010

Fun on bund


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Chinese Supercomputer becomes world's second-fastest machine

A Chinese supercomputer has been ranked as the world’s second-fastest machine, surpassing European and Japanese systems and underscoring China’s aggressive commitment to science and technology.

The Dawning Nebulae, based at the National Supercomputing Center in Shenzhen, China, has achieved a sustained computing speed of 1.27 petaflops — the equivalent of one thousand trillion mathematical operations a second — in the latest semiannual ranking of the world’s fastest 500 computers.

The newest ranking was made public on Monday at the International Supercomputer Conference in Hamburg, Germany. Supercomputers are used for scientific and engineering problems as diverse as climate simulation and automotive design.

The Chinese machine is actually now ranked as the world’s fastest in terms of theoretical peak performance, but that is considered a less significant measure than the actual computing speed achieved on a standardized computing test.

The world’s fastest computer remains the Cray Jaguar supercomputer, based at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee. Last November it was measured at 1.75 petaflops.

In the previous year’s ranking, the Chinese had the fifth-fastest computer, a system that was based at a National Supercomputing Center in Tianjin, China. That machine has now dropped to seventh place.

The United States continues to be the dominant maker of supercomputers, and is the nation with the most machines in the top 500. The United States has 282 of the world’s fastest 500 computers on the new list, an increase from 277 when the rankings were compiled in November.

But China appears intent on challenging American dominance. There had been some expectation that China would make an effort to complete a system based on Chinese-designed components in time for the June ranking. The Nebulae is based on chips from Intel and Nvidia.

The new system, which is based on a microprocessor that has been designed and manufactured in China, is now expected later this year. A number of supercomputing industry scientists and engineers said that it was possible that the new machine would claim the title of world’s fastest.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if by the end of this year they surpass the scientific computing power of the E.U. countries combined and have a computer system with an achieved performance to reach the No. 1 position on the top 500,” said Jack Dongarra, a computer scientist at the University of Tennessee and one of the researchers who has organized the twice-yearly rankings.

Americans designed the first machines that were defined as supercomputers during the 1960s, and the United States has rarely been dislodged from its controlling position as technology leader. In 2002, however, the Japanese government’s Earth Simulator set off anxiety in Washington when that system briefly claimed the top position.

The United States then began investing heavily in the computing systems, breaking the petaflop barrier in 2008.

It is now preparing to begin a sustained push to build systems capable of computing at what is known as exascale performance — one thousand times faster than today’s fastest systems. The goal is to realize that technological achievement between 2018 and 2020.


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Expo organizers to come up with crowd control plan

If there's anything we've learned from Expo so far, it's that crowd control is clearly a necessity. Expo officials have heard complaints loud and clear, and are now in the process of changing up set ups of some pavilions to better manage crowds and long lines.

From the sounds of it, organizers were caught off-guard with the number of daily visitors (their target income of 6 billion yuan has almost been met) and which pavilions they would visit - Hong Hao, director general of the Bureau of Shanghai World Expo Coordination, admitted they didn't expect so many people to be queuing at Saudi Arabia or Japan. The tentative plan as of yesterday is to have the lesser-visited pavilions add attractions, and the popular ones get rid of some (the China pavilion won't be the first to make this move, though).

Expo organizers might also be looking to save some face after the surge of K-pop fans nearly caused a stampede on Sunday. Hong clarified that no one was trampled to death, and stated that organizers are in the midst of coming up with emergency safety plans for when entertainers or athletes make appearances.

However, in order to accommodate the staggering attendance rates (a reported 505,000 people were there on Saturday), and to discourage more creative means of getting into pavilions, organizers recommend buying night tickets as most of the visitors leave at 5 pm. All pavilions have been told to stay open until 10:30 (some were closing at 9 if there weren't enough visitors).

A friend at the Canadian pavilion seconds this tip: Visit the Expo at around 8 pm. It won't be as crowded, it won't be as hot, and heck, it might be even prettier - by that time, all the pavilions will be all lit up.


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What to make of the strikes in China?

Around this time of year, the topic of social unrest in China is never far from the fore. The recent spate of strikes at the Honda plant in Foshan and slew of suicides at Foxconn's Shenzhen factory has provided recent evidence that not only disenfranchised sections of society are willing to show their defiant colours, but also the greater need for the government to address China's wealth distribution.

The Foxconn saga, in which at least twelve workers jumped to their deaths, has raised questions over the nature of factory life in China. The Guardian and The Telegraph have both looked into why the spate occurred. The seven-day weeks and 15-hour days of silent and repetitive manufacturing of products these workers may never be able to afford has taken its toll. Chinese paper Southern Weekend also sent one of its interns to work in Foxconn's factory for one month, who said,

If you have no links, other than on the production line, then you become one single and unconnected knot. Then you get suicidal facing a machine all day and with no way of releasing your anxiety like normal people.

It was also found that, although the factory pays its workers according to China's legal minimum wage (900 RMB), it has since pledged to increase salaries by 20%.

Meanwhile, a set of workers' strikes at a Honda transmission factory have raised questions over a potential labour movement in the PRC. The car maker had to shut down its Foshan plant from 21st May to 2nd June after over 1,800 workers went on strike demanding higher wages.

Perhaps adding fuel to the strike engine, as well as Chinese state media's willingness to cover it, is that Honda is a Japanese company, with anti-Japanese sentiment from World War Two still lingering in the PRC. However, as this piece from The Economist says, the issue here is more about the lack of support from China's only officially recognised union, the All China Federation of Trade Unions, than its Japanese managers:

On May 31st more than a hundred high-level union members were sent to the factory by the local government. Some scuffled with workers who were trying to get to the gate to talk to reporters. “They’re mafia,” fumed one employee, as another showed a long cut on his face that he blamed on the union men.

 

Several workers complained that despite paying membership dues of around 10 yuan ($1.50) a month, they had received virtually nothing from the union, least of all help negotiating with managers.

 

In similar news, China Daily reported yesterday that representatives from KFC have been in talks with Shenyang Municipal Trade Union in Liaoning province, two months after the union demanded an increase in pay from 700 to 900 RMB a month.

In spite of the tensions, an FT editorial is quick to claim we are not seeing the end of a cheap labour era in China. Instead,

it is crucial to remember that those with jobs in large factories in successful coastal regions are among the more privileged Chinese. The big challenge is to spread higher incomes across the whole country.

 

To achieve this, there has to be fundamental reform. This must include: shifting labour-intensive industry from coastal regions; supporting rapid growth of labour-intensive services; repricing underpriced capital; giving households a bigger share of the return on capital, via higher interest rates; creating stronger social safety nets and increasing direct spending on health and education services.

 

These events have occurred at a sensitive time for the Chinese government. Educated guesses can be made on how they will play out, or if they will create a ripple effect that will cause other disgruntled workers to revolt. However, the one certainty is that the very bubbling of such contentions hammers home the need for broad-based reform to decrease the gaps in social inequalities.


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